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Regime Shifts in the Baltic Sea Ecosystem
- Modelling Complex Adaptive Ecosystems and Governance Implications

The aim of this FORMAS project is to:
1) To investigate the interplay between gradual and abrupt change (regime shifts) in the Baltic Sea by analysing trends and potential tipping points in the river loads, marine biogeochemical cycles and in the marine food web as a function of climate and anthropogenic forcing.

2) To derive governance structures necessary to implement an ecosystem approach to management of the various subsystems of the Baltic Sea consisting of the major catchments/watersheds and the main marine basins of the Baltic.

The project, which runs from 2010-2013, is lead by

Christoph Humborg, Baltic Nest Institute, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University
Ulrika Mörth, Department of Political Science, Stockholm University
Carl Folke, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University

Project manager for the project is Thorsten Blenckner, Baltic Nest Institute, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University

Project communicator for the project is Marmar Nekoro, Baltic Nest Institute, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University

The project is organized in four Work Packages (WPs, see below)

Fig.1. The schematic overview of the project indicating also the interactions between the workpackages.
Baltic Nest Institute Sweden | Stockholm Resilience Centre | Stockholm University | SE-106 91 Stockholm, Sweden | Telephone:  +46 (0)8 674 7070
Baltic Nest Institute Denmark | Aarhus University | Fredriksborgsvej 399 | DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark | Telephone:  +45 4630 1200
Baltic Nest Institute Finland | Finnish Environment Institute | P.O. Box 140, FI-00251 Helsinki, Finland | + 358 20 610 123