Briefing brochure ECOSUPPORT project
BONUS Briefing 10, October 2011
ECOSUPPORT model projections of the Baltic Sea show that changes will occur in the marine environment in a future climate, changing oxygen saturation concentrations and turnover rates of biogeochemical processes.KEY RESULTS
ECOSUPPORT has developed a multi-model system tool to
assess the combined effect of climate change and nutrient
loads to the Baltic Sea.
The tool demonstrates that as a consequence of changing
atmospheric and hydrological conditions the overall water
temperature is projected to increase and salinity to decrease.
Such changes together with present loads will very likely lead
to enhanced eutrophication, increased bottom areas with
missing higher forms of life, so-called hypoxic areas, reduced
biodiversity and increased risk for acidification.
To reach HELCOM targets for a Baltic Sea unaffected by
eutrophication, nutrient load reductions are even more
important in a future climate. For instance, under the Baltic Sea
Action Plan scenario the future water transparency will not
increase significantly and will even be reduced assuming
present loads.
WHO NEEDS THE INFORMATION
ECOSUPPORT information will be made ready available for all policy
makers concerned with a Baltic Sea unaffected by eutrophication
and the adaptation to climate change.
More information about the ECOSUPPORT project
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